{"id":147,"date":"2009-04-02T23:15:18","date_gmt":"2009-04-03T07:15:18","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.tranzoa.net\/~alex\/blog\/?p=147"},"modified":"2009-04-02T23:16:40","modified_gmt":"2009-04-03T07:16:40","slug":"how-to-calculate-the-truth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tranzoa.net\/~alex\/blog\/?p=147","title":{"rendered":"How to calculate the truth"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Through <a href=\"http:\/\/www.fark.com\">Fark<\/a> I saw this article: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.foxnews.com\/politics\/2009\/04\/02\/myth-percent-guns-mexico-fraction-number-claimed\/\">The Myth of 90 Percent: Only a Small Fraction of Guns in Mexico Come From U.S<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>The sum of the article is that there have apparently been lots of media stories saying that 90% of the drug war guns in Mexico come from the U.S. But the article claims that the 90% number is bogus and should be 17%.<\/p>\n<p>Let&#8217;s run with that.<\/p>\n<p>You can calculate the 17% pretty accurately by noting that if there&#8217;s a repeated, repeated, repeated number under-pinning a story, story, story that matches the media&#8217;s core beliefs, then you must multiply the number by the 80% chance that the number is BS, that is, a 20% chance the number is accurate.<\/p>\n<p>90% * .20 = 18%<\/p>\n<p>Which is pretty close to 17%, is it not?<\/p>\n<p>This method of calculating the truth says that Madoff swindled not 60 billion, but 12 billion.<\/p>\n<p>QED.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Through Fark I saw this article: The Myth of 90 Percent: Only a Small Fraction of Guns in Mexico Come From U.S. The sum of the article is that there have apparently been lots of media stories saying that 90% &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tranzoa.net\/~alex\/blog\/?p=147\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8,11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-147","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-bloggy-things","category-humor"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tranzoa.net\/~alex\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/147","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tranzoa.net\/~alex\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tranzoa.net\/~alex\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tranzoa.net\/~alex\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tranzoa.net\/~alex\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=147"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/www.tranzoa.net\/~alex\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/147\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":156,"href":"https:\/\/www.tranzoa.net\/~alex\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/147\/revisions\/156"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tranzoa.net\/~alex\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=147"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tranzoa.net\/~alex\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=147"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tranzoa.net\/~alex\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=147"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}