Egalitarian Home Prices by State

Through a chain started at information aesthetics I happened upon a list of average and median home prices at Trulia.

First thing I wondered was, what’s the egalitarian factor?

Egalitarian factor?

Well, if the average price is way, way higher than the median price, you gotta figure that a few big numbers pull the average up, leaving the median as a better indicator of intuitive price. So, divide the median by the average and you have a number that goes up as the prices are more egalitarian. Don’t you?

Here are the results for today’s numbers:

State                Factor Average  Median

District Of Columbia   1.15  627362  720000
Iowa                   0.84  180103  150500
Nebraska               0.82  182592  150000
Wisconsin              0.82  241716  198000
Virginia               0.72  459543  329900
Washington             0.71  430707  305950
New Hampshire          0.70  371624  259500
Alaska                 0.67  315929  210700
Maryland               0.64  496329  320000
Ohio                   0.64  209321  133358
Minnesota              0.63  311943  196812
Kentucky               0.63  213286  134500
New Jersey             0.62  549482  342000
California             0.61  737454  452000
Nevada                 0.61  511755  309995
Illinois               0.59  386626  230000
Louisiana              0.59  279841  165000
Pennsylvania           0.59  305138  179900
Oregon                 0.59  416287  244900
Rhode Island           0.58  457480  265000
Delaware               0.56  426997  237000
Arkansas               0.55  222335  123000
Massachusetts          0.55  563596  310000
Texas                  0.55  265163  144900
Hawaii                 0.54  963770  522000
Arizona                0.54  459513  248229
Alabama                0.53  272234  145000
Georgia                0.53  323621  172000
New York               0.52  666838  350000
North Dakota           0.52  169117   88600
Florida                0.52  454882  236000
Oklahoma               0.51  206465  106000
Tennessee              0.51  261497  132500
Colorado               0.50  475910  240000
Michigan               0.50  246792  123192
Maine                  0.49  316602  155300
West Virginia          0.47  223331  105000
South Dakota           0.46  222642  101700
Vermont                0.42  377453  159355
North Carolina         0.41  330054  136149
Missouri               0.39  218186   84624
South Carolina         0.38  340385  129900
Connecticut            0.37  707500  260000
Mississippi            0.34  241566   82700
New Mexico             0.34  374934  127503
Montana                0.31  485158  151300
Indiana                0.31  204847   63655
Kansas                 0.30  197649   59044
Utah                   0.26  501207  129000
Wyoming                0.23  569040  130702
Idaho                  0.21  413325   85000

So, there is it, folks. DC is the most egalitarian “state”. In fact, you really must wonder about a place where the average is apparently pulled down by a few small numbers. Maybe there are a few houses in DC that people have paid a lot of money to get rid of. Not, mind you, the White House. Anyway, it’s interesting that the US government bureaucrat states of DC, Maryland, and Virgina are near the top of the list. Do such states disproportionately use apartments for low-end housing, taking the low numbers off the stats?

Some other interesting things in this list:

1) Washington state is pretty high on the list. Notice that I’ve ordered the list egalitarian-on-top.

2) The state names are colored by median price. Higher price, more red, less blue. And the reverse. I think that in a country where people are free to live where they want, it makes sense that the high end places are more “egalitarian”, even if there were not arithmetic reasons for this.

2) What’s with Kansas? Neighbors Iowa and Nebraska are similarly low priced and at the top of the list, but Kansas is at the bottom. Are a few rich people building houses in Kansas (can you say “Montana” or “Idaho”)?

10 million dollars 10 years from now

Jury duty tomorrow, so I was daydreaming about patents.

Why, yes, jury duty and patents are related.

The daydream featured a rather nice “Moore’s Law Patent.”

What’s a Moore’s Law Patent?

A Moore’s Law Patent is a sillypatent (one word, that) for a device that would not sell or be used at all, now, because, for instance, it would cost $100,000 – which is far, far too much for what it does.

Wait 10 years. Now it’s $1000, off the shelf. Another 5 years and it’s $100. And, if the device’s cost is subject to Moore’s Law, it’s likely to be dependent upon software, which will be far more powerful and cheap after that 10 years.

At that time, if the device is a good idea, someone will make a business out of it. Maybe a very large business. Which will make the patent a good thing to have. … For the patent holder.

No innovation is needed. Just extrapolate with common sense and/or look what’s being done now, “in the lab”. That’s the essence of a “Moore’s Law Patent.”

OK, here is the patent that ties together jury duty and patents:

A computer controlled system that helps lawyers vet prospective jury members. This system suggests questions to ask and listens for and understands the answers. And the system advises the lawyer/user which people to consider for the jury and which to keep off the jury. The system uses artificial intelligence logic in a novel way to arrive at its advice. And, the system pools collaborative information with all other compatible systems – one embodiment, in real time, another not – to automatically improve the logic.

The interesting questions are:

  • Can such a system be built today to run on hardware that costs from $100,000 to a million dollars?
  • Could such a system be developed today for 1 to 10 billion dollars?

If so, score!

Work the numbers.

We’re talking about a $1000 device in 10 years. Easily affordable for a lot of trial lawyers – say 100,000 of ’em in this country alone. These lawyers would have an incentive. Wouldn’t a client with a lawyer who doesn’t have the device wonder whether he, the client, is truly, fairly represented by competent counsel?

Budget to build: $10,000,000 to $100,000,000 10 years from now.

And, if there were 100,000 lawyers buying this thing every year (updates would be important), and if the device cost those lawyers each $2000, then the device’s manufacturer would be raking in $100,000,000 per year, gross. Not a bad ROI.

A business like that will not blink when you show up with your patent and ask for a measly $10 million.

Reader, take the idea and run with it. It can’t miss.

Identity Theft

During the first part of March some joker got himself an ID with my name, social, and house address. And he got my BECU account number. And he got himself some store cards at Penny’s, Wal-Mart, Sears, Citi Mastercard, and Kohl’s. And he got himself 10 to 15 grand.

And, he got his picture taken.

Apparently, he stopped just about the time I was doing taxes, hit www.becu.org, and found an unexpected bank account history.

The bottom line isn’t too bad (for me, anyway) so far. The various places are all on the ball. BECU (“Amy” is the person there) has already straightened out the accounts. The other guys, it turns out, are only 3 places: Kohl’s (“Kevin” is the guy there), GEMB, and Citibank. It turns out that store cards are handled by places like Citi and GEMB.

So, how’s the “customer experience” so far? I mean, what’s the out-of-box?

I found out about BECU on a weekend. Their site makes it almost impossible to report problems. On Sunday night, I finally found a phone number for an ATM handling company. And, I got through to them. They suggested I call the credit union on Monday.

I did.

Got Amy. She moved things along nicely, closing the accounts and firing up new ones. Told me to file a report with the police and to put a “fraud alert” on my credit history through the 3 credit history outfits. That seemed a little excessive, but a trip to the post office indicated that maybe it was a good suggestion.

The post office had the usual stack of junk mail, credit card offers, etc. I’d even ripped open and tossed one “offer” that had a card in it, ostensibly ready to 800 authorize, when I got an uneasy feeling about it. The unease grew as I found JC Pennys (for which I had a card back in the ’80s) was billing me. And Sears. And Kohl’s. OK. So, that was interesting.

Cross the highway to the sheriff’s office. They gave me the non-911 number to call. (206) 296-3311. I called, later. Told the guy the info and got a case number, 07-092261. Could practically hear the quill pen scratching the paper. That was the first weird thing in all this. We get so used to living in a world where, if you go to Jiffy Lube in Utah, you are not surprised when they have your car’s Jiffy Lube history right there, on-screen, from Washington state visits past. But, apparently, ID theft case information is hand written at the King County sheriff’s. Maybe not. But it sure seemed that way. When I called ’em back after getting all the store-card stuff, the guy did not seem to have any information about the case. It sounded like he was jotting down stuff on a piece of paper which, we presume, will somehow get assembled in some kind of manilla folder or something somewhere. I can’t see and add to the info on line. They actually mailed me a thing to fill out for “any additional information”.

Second oddity: The bad guy is known. And, he’s on camera. The way I hear it, he’s done this sort of thing before. Long, long ago I read something that asserted that bank robbers were the dumbest of crooks. This case, perhaps, supports that contention. Unless you consider that this isn’t the first time for this guy. Hey, you gotta go with what works!

Where is he? Good question. Since he only stole 10 or 15 grand, who cares, eh? We live in this world where extremely law abiding citizens get pathologically paranoid that “the government” is watching them (unless they feel that their kindred political spirits seem to be in control of “the government”) and will soon be tossing them in concentration camps (or gulags, depending upon their political bent). Know all. See all. “They” are watching us. But, it looks like “they” can’t find a bottom feeeding crook. “They” must be too busy smashing through dangerous, Volvo driving, English Lit professors’ doors at 3AM.

Back to the phone. Kohl’s was first in line. They shut down the card, which was maxed out. They mailed out a thing for me to sign.

I hit the ftc.gov site. They had a long form to fill out. If you should feel the urge, don’t bother. After you’ve waded through it, you’ll find that it gives you the option to print it out. That’s it. Gosh, you’ve just entered all of your personal information to their server, a gold mine for any id theft crook, and you get a print-out, if your printer has ink.

Which brings up an interesting point. All of these security guys want, for good reason, your information: birth date, legal name, real mailing address, cell phone number, social security number, etc. etc. Heck, I found myself leary about telling ’em the PO box number. They had the house number, which the bad guy had. But, where did the bad guy get his info. At this point, I still thought that he must have either social-engineered a teller or the teller was too good a friend. (Later, Amy said that the teller could not have found the account numbers. Not a BECU branch.) Anyway, it was odd that I felt uneasy about telling these guys all this information. Sure they work in security, every one. And I have some picture of the kinds of people they are (Imani worked in banks in that area for a number of years.). But. Remember that I’m a guy who has fought many times since the ’70s to not give out his social.

Somewhere in all this, I hit the web to try to do the “fraud alert” with the credit places. Equifax and Experian had unworkable web sites. Transunion was good. I reported at Transunion. The three share information so you only need to hit one of ’em to get the job done.

Off to one of the others, which got me to Citi. I got the feeling I was talking to a person in a large workgroup. With experience. “Judy” told me about GEMB and the credit places. She pinged GEMB. We went 3-party with Transunion to get the fraud alert extended.


The bit about extending the credit alert was interesting. You can get a “credit alert” put on your credit history. That means that during the next 90 days if one of the card places looks at your credit to open a new card, they’ll know to get in touch with you by means other than how you’re asking them for a card. “Extending” the alert changes that 90 days to 7 years. It’s pretty easy to visualize everyones credit history having extended alerts before too long. Hassle for you. Yet another cost of crime.

So, “Judy” accessed credit history and found the Wal-Mart card. Wal-Mart’s stuff hadn’t hit the mail yet.

That seemed to cover things.

I drove off to Death Valley.

Came back to find a gob of mail from the various places. Affidavits. Etc. Spent a day filling ’em out. For a normal person, it would have been a few minutes, but, well, someday, some medical research will find yet another crippling disablity: unable-to-fill-out-forms-osis.

The oddest of the mailings was, I kid you not, a large packet from Citi. It looked like one of these things that HR departments put out. Lots of glossy, heavy stock. Sure signs that the company is fat and has lost focus. But, I guess that sort of thing comes with “professionalism”. Must make those who put it out feel good about themselves. If you ever feel the need to put such stuff out yourself, just remember that Criagslist is more successful than you are.

The 3 credit history places had sent stuff, of course. All boiler plate about how I can get a free credit report. After a little thought, I said, “Why not?”. Hit the Equifax web site. After some wading through, they wanted 10 or 15 bucks. Hmmm. Was gonna hit Experian when I found that Transunion had already sent the info.

Out-of-box score:

Plus:

  • Amy at BECU
  • Judy at Citi
  • Transunion

Minus:

  • Bad guy
  • System that let him walk
  • BECU webmaster
  • King County sheriff
  • Equifax
  • FTC

Techie thought: Years ago, I considered writing a system that would make it easy for, say, a bank, to send an IM or SMS when something happens on an account (e.g. web login, withdrawal, etc.). Turns out, someone built what appears to be such a system. Another story, that. But, gosh the bank web sites are bad. Making such a web site is, in fact, not easy. So, they have an excuse. But if these guys don’t have a long, long TODO list, something is very, very wrong in El Banko del IT.

Anyway, if you’re an account person reading this, I was not born on January 1st, 1970. That’s the other guy. The guy who, we can only hope, just swung his third strike.

Death Valley Walk

Sometime around ’bout the spring of ’79, it was, I was a ridin’ the bike through Death Valley on a Saturday night. After having a beer with some people from Luxemburg in the Furnace Creek Inn, I headed south. 11:30 at night found me pulled in to Badwater, the lowest point in North America.

What to do?

Walk out on the valley floor.

Blank, white flat. Check by taste. Salt.

The moon rose above the eastern wall and lit up the salt. Daylight, almost. Simply nothing was alive. Quiet. Very still. No bugs. Nothing. Just bright moonlight, bright ground and a long, long way to anything.

Rode south from there with no headlight for 50 miles until I hit the sack.

Wind the clock forward a few years. Scott’s 2 or so. Craig is 16, 17. We’re in the van and, for some reason, wandered by Death Valley. Full moon again. I say, “Let’s walk out from Badwater. It’s really strange.” We get to Badwater and find water. Lots of water. Seems like the whole valley floor is water. So much for our walk.

But wait! The water is warm. It’s ankle depth, maybe a bit more. What’s to stop us from walking out in it? There sure won’t be any sharp dropoffs in this pancake land.

So we did. I studied the sides of the valley, looking for signs of how far out we were. Half way? No idea, really. Hmmmm. Gleaming eyes from a coyote from the other side. Water climbed to knee height and the ground was getting pretty slick and squishy. Since Scott was sound asleep on my back it seemed like we had gone far enough.

We spent the night on the other side of the water – Lake Manly. We drove there.

Months later, I ordered a topo to find out the real situation. Yes! Looks like about a 6 or 7 mile walk across. That should be doable.

So, for a decade and a half I talked up the idea of walking across Death Valley. How many people can say they’ve done it, after all? Kids and life intervened, though. And Death Valley is not down the street, so the walk never happened.

But, in the late ’90’s Tom Boyle was at a show in Vegas, rented a car, and took a look. “Alex, you’re wrong. It’s not a flat, smooth, easy walk.” Tom described what sounded like the Devil’s Golf Course, an aptly named, rugged mess of land surface. I was so disappointed I didn’t even empathize with Tom’s disappointment.

So, another decade has gone by.

Badwater got a big, paved parking lot, a boardwalk, substantial pit toilets, the works.

Apparently, in Furnace Creek you can get a full-moon horse ride.

What’s the first few words of one of the signs at the big, paved Badwater parking lot? “The salt flats are always changing.”

This time I pulled in after a 14 hour drive at 11:30 under a cloud covered full moon sky.

No one there. I had kind of expected others to be trying this walk. Call it optimistic pessimism.

Toss extra Gatorades and Costco sport drinks in the day pack, put on shoes that can be thrown away, don’t bother checking the flashlight, and head west.

First half would look like this picture

Back pack on salt

if it were at the bottom of the sea. As it is, a flash picture can just show the surface. It can’t show the world. Even behind clouds the light is bright.

First input: Event horizon is 10 minutes. That is, if you see some surface change ahead as far can be seen, you will be there in 10 minutes. Such an horizon puts the lie to the idea that ship masts sinking on the horizon “prove” the absurd assertion that the world is round.

Second input: After a while, I looked up to see the mountains around the valley floor. The shapes and textures were very familiar. Apparently, they had not changed in 20+ years.

Third input: You can’t get lost. Well, duh. But, look at all the ways to orient. You cast a moon shadow. If you make a tube with your hands in front of one open eye, you still see the surface ridges shadowed by the moon. Stars are all over. Wind is blowing. Surface in many places is a flow. The floor is, after all, a large salty mud flat.

Fourth input: 3/4’s of the way over, the surface got a bit soft and slickish. And there were tracks. It had been much wetter some time. By stomping, I left tracks in only one or two small areas. Mostly, the ground may have sunk a bit under my step, but tracks? No.

Anyway, after an hour and 3 quarters, I hit stuff that threatened to turn in to what Tom found. Dang. If this ground were volcanic rock, it would be the shoe shredding stuff.

Press on.

My calculation was that if the valley were 6 or 7 miles across, then 2 hours, maybe 2.5 hours, should get me across to the west side road. At a hair under 2 hours the surface was quite unpleasant, and I began to think of what would happen if I twisted an ankle AND bongoed my other knee. Hmmm. Let’s say it takes 5 times as long to travel, at best. That puts me out on the whitest salt flat under a pretty good sun. That could get interesting.

So I was seriously considering spinning around. There’s really not a lot of purpose to the walk, anyway.

Then I stumbled on a small, dead bush.

On and on. Ah, what looks like it might be a road line.

10 minutes. No. They are big bushes.

5 long, long minutes. Bang. Road.

OK.

Drink a little.

Big decision: Do I wait for someone to come by and bum a ride back to the car? Or do I trudge back? Remember, I live in a world in which someone *may* come by. Heck, people probably come by there at 2 in the morning on Sunday nights in April every decade or so. So the odds are good. But, the sky cleared and the moon was free.

Anyway, whoever was coming by was probably hanging out around the turn a few miles to the south, waiting for me to get out of the road. So, it seemed like a good idea to just walk back.

I did.

Long walk. I got kind of tired at the end and strolled. Got back at 5.

As I drove away from Badwater, the moon went behind the clouds. I drove for a few minutes, gave up, pulled off and slept.

Nice walk.

Everyone should have a few Death Valley full moon crossings in their lives.

A Good Product

A few days ago I decided that my eyes deserved a break and I deserved a treat. I ordered an Acer 24″ AL2423W LCD monitor from NewEgg.

Let’s get to the bottom line:

This monitor is one of the few things I have bought in many years that I really liked right out of the box and beyond.

Nowadays, I live in a world that habit and a slippery slope has filled, to my constant irritation and chagrin, with “stuff”. Lots of stuff. A houseful of stuff. Useless stuff. Wasteful stuff. Stuff that should never have been aquired, bought, stolen, accepted or allowed in to this house. Stuff. Stuff. … … … … Stuff.

I don’t easily buy more stuff. Buying stuff hurts. Bad.

But this monitor I like.

Online reviews say it’s too bright. It is bright. I like it bright. It made my 21″ CRT look dim by comparison. Yes!

It runs 1920 pixels by 1200 pixels. That’s nice. And it’s big enough that you don’t need to squint to see those pixels.

The out-of-box is great. Both DVI and VGA cords are included. A class outfit, Acer. Make the customer smile. Make it easy for the customer to like the product.

Again, I do.

Well.

Except for one tiny thing:

Turns out, a cap on the top of the stand comes off.

And, if you’re inadvertantly holding the monitor by that cap while you attach the VGA cable to a rather hard to reach plug, and the cap does come off, then the monitor falls on the corner of the keyboard and …

Broken Acer LCD Monitor

I screamed. I swore. I hated the thought of even using the computer without this monitor. This monitor is the kind of thing you start using and in 30 seconds you never look back. I screamed some more. I swore some more. … What are the stages of grief? Who cares? I screamed some more.

It’s not the cap’s fault, really. I just blew it. It really hurts. I liked that monitor. It simply made me smile to look at it and use it. It brought moments of happiness to me. I’m not 12. Stuff doesn’t do that any more. This monitor did.

But, now it’ll be hard to justify a third one to twin the replacement up. 6 bills is 6 bills, after all. And, the kids aren’t completely de-nested.

Changing a program you don’t know

How might a language help solve the problems of those who wish to safely add code to a big project that they don’t understand very well.

Well, such a language might make it hard to build a program with the “pragma assert”s stripped out. (Stripping asserts is a powerful tool for those who spend time “proving the correctness of programs” or who, in the dark recesses of their minds, agree with the thinking of the early days of computers: “A bug?!? Why, that’s so totally unexpected!”)

And, could you be encouraged to write self-test code that does not execute in-line, but rather works kind of like a conditional hardware breakpoint at a higher, more complex level?

Heck, there’s gotta be some way to keep all these multi-core CPUs busy.

Now, if you could build a system that wrote such high-level, self-test code – that would be kinda interesting.

The promise of open source

It’s funny how the promise of open source is an unreachable ideal.

Let’s take a popular open source project: Thunderbird.

Gosh, it would be nice to make a few changes to it.

But it’s too big. And, as a guess, you’d need to spend a lot of time (and perhaps money) setting up a development environment to actually work on it.

In an imaginary, ideal world, such a program would be made up of many clearly labeled, independent, smaller parts with clear, decoupling APIs between them.

Yes, there would always be a bucket of shared library, “memcpy” kinds of things. But those things should just be there in an opaque monolith, always available, never obtrusive.

And, in that ideal world, the pieces of the program would be written in a modern language (i.e. not C/C++).

Telling experience: A few years ago, I needed the Perl POP3 module to do something. Since the source was part of Perl, I simply modified it, sent the author/owner (whose contact information was at the top of the source file) the change and moved on. Soon thereafter, I noticed he had imported the change in a better, more general way. That was all good and pleasant. That the program ran directly from the source was the enabling factor there.

I wonder how much FireFox and Thunderbird would be improved if there were a Tools|Advanced button to toggle the UI/Javascript source between the .jar file format it’s in and a fully expanded form. … And much more of the program were moved up to Javascript from C++. … Or if writing extensions weren’t so chaotic a process.

Alien Pig

Went off inside a big silver bird to test the medical device I’m writing the software for.

New experience for me. Not the silver bird. That was not new. It was simply claustrophobically cramped.

No. What was new was the operating room.

It was a Saturday and quiet. … Too quiet.

Well, they don’t do cadavers-for-students on weekends so there wasn’t much going on.

Didn’t know quite what to expect.

Walked in to find a pig flipped on his back, stretched out, belly shaved, very pale skin all around, various operating room pipes and gizmos hooked to his mouth, feet and … hands. Respirator wheezing rythmically. Heart monitor beeping in tune.

This upside down pig don’t look like a pig snorting around in a pen. No visual connection to that sort of pig at all. What this guy looked like was a sympathetic Hollywood alien readied for … ah … examination … by the evil government scientists hidden away in their secret underground lab.

He didn’t survive.

But it’s all in a good cause. And, pictures of slices of an earlier test showed – bacon. Well, it’s from a pig, so what do you expect!

Sometime in to the day, I pulled out the camera and was about to capture the creepiness. “No cameras! You can’t have cameras in the operating room.” Uh, and that video camera and thermographic camera are … what? It was explained: You can take close-in pictures of the target site, but you can’t take wholistic pictures that show the animal. (Ah, so that’s why meat is hermetically sealed in nitro-packs in the supermarket.) Why no animal pics to show context, one might ask? Silly question. Think: Lawsuits. Pictures on the internet. Animal rights “people”. Yeah, only in America, where food comes from the grocery shelf. Hmmm. When was the last time you heard the once common, rhetoric statement, “It’s a free country.”?

So, the bad news was that the device didn’t seem to work. Jury’s still out on that, though. Too many new things were tested for a bottom line to be clear right now.

I learned at least one thing new: Animals don’t bleed. Not like humans, anyway. One theory is that, lacking hands, they can’t bleed like we do. No hands to stop the blood. So, do chimps bleed like a “stuck pig?”

Another question: If the pig were turned in to bacon, would the bacon have some of the anethesia in it? Some of the “we have about 20 different anethesias to mix and match from” chemicals?

Answer to “Why use so many anethethia chemicals?” Some are fast, but wear off quickly. Some are slow and last. Some depress certain parts of the body but not others. Heart or lungs, which do you want to be affected most? Etc. Pretty snazzy what knowledge and gizmos and skills are available in this modern world. Heck, slap two or three “greats” on to “grand” and you’re in a world of “drink a lot of this booze and chomp on this leather, buddy. Good luck to you.” Golly, Mr. Swine almost had it good the day we entered his life.

EasySay Characters

Talking on the phone recently, it seemed like a good time to note down somewhere the EasySay characters I used for OnlyMe admin passwords and such.

EasySay characters are characters that are quite unambiguous / distinct both in spoken form and in written form.

In short, they are: “AESINO267”.

OnlyMe considered the other characters to be equivalent to their EasySay peers.

Granted, mapping from the other characters to the EasySay characters is ambiguous. Z? Good arguments could be made for it to map to E, 2, or S.

Here’s the table:

A ahjk8
E bcdegptvz3
S fsx
I ily159
N mn
O oqr04
2 uw
6
7

So, if the world used a 9 character alphabet we’d spend a lot less time on the phone talking like we’re WWII combat guys with huge radios glued to our ears.